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Prediction of Tourist Quantity Based on RBF Neural Network | Zhang | Journal of Computers
Journal of Computers, Vol 7, No 4 (2012), 965-970, Apr 2012
doi:10.4304/jcp.7.4.965-970

Prediction of Tourist Quantity Based on RBF Neural Network

HuaiQiang Zhang, JingBing Li

Abstract


Tourist quantity is an important factor deciding economic benefits and sustainable development of tourism. Thus tourist quantity prediction becomes the important content of tourism development planning. Based on the tourist quantity of Hainan province for more than twenty years, this paper establishes tourist quantity prediction model according to RBF neural network [1], in which the principle and algorithm of RBF neural network is used. And this paper also predicts the future tourist quantity of Hainan province. The Matlab emulational result of RBF neural network model shows based on RBF neural network tourist quantity prediction model can exactly predict the future tourist quantity of Hainan province, thus providing a new idea and mean for tourist quantity prediction.



Keywords


RBF neural network; International Tourism Island; tourist quantity; predict

References


 

[1] WEI Hai-kun. Neural network structure design theory and method [M]. Beijing: National Defence Industry Press, 2005.2

[2] International Travel Hainan Island Http://baike.baidu.com/viem/3139516.htm?fr=ala0_1_1

[3] Sun Yang-ping, Zhang Lin, Lv Ren-yi. Tourist quantity forecast by using neural network [J].Human Geography, 2002,17(6):pp.50-52

[4] Liu Xiu-qing, Wang Xiao-yuan, Yu Ren-de. Study on traffic accidents prediction model based On RBF neural network [J].Computer Engineering and Applications 2009,45(17),pp.188-190

[5] Zhang De-feng. MATLAB Neural Network Application Design [M]. Beijing: Mechanical Industry Press,2009.1

[6] Li Jing-bing,Zhang Huai-qiang. Application of BP neural network model on forecasting the number of tourists in Hainan province[C].International Conference on Computer and Communication Technologies in Agriculture Engineering(CCTAE),2010,pp.502-507

[7] Zhang De-feng. MATLAB Neural Network Simulation and Application [M].Beijing: Electronic Industry Press, 2009.6


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Journal of Computers (JCP, ISSN 1796-203X)

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