MOSES – A modelling tool for the analysis of scenarios of the European electricity supply system

S. Weitemeyer^1a, T. Feck¹ and C. Agert¹

¹ NEXT ENERGY – EWE-forschungszentrum für Energietechnologie e.V., Oldenburg, Germany

^a e-mail: stefan.weitemeyer@next-energy.de

Published online: 02 October 2012

Abstract

Recent studies have shown that a transition of the current power supply system in Europe to a system almost entirely based on fluctuating Renewable Energy Sources (RES) by mid-century is possible. However, most of these scenarios require a significant amount of back-up power capacities to ensure the security of electricity supply. This would imply high additional investments and operating costs. Hence, alternative options should be investigated first. Here we present a first outlook of our simulation model MOSES which will be able to analyse different target states of the European electricity system in 2050. In this model long-term meteorological data series are used to optimise the capacity mix of RES in Europe. One of the main elements of our tool is a simplified electricity network. In addition, alternative options for reduction of additional back-up power like the expansion of the transmission grid, the use of demand-side management and/or the installation of over-capacities will be implemented. The results will be used to provide scientifically proven recommendations to policy makers for a reliable energy supply system in Europe based on Renewable Energy Sources.